Bracketology Update, 3/10/22

We are just 3 days away from Selection Sunday, and it’s time to update Bracketology again. I’ve been tweeting out brackets (@Sam_Federman) but haven’t posted one on here in a bit.

1 Seeds: Gonzaga*, Arizona*, Baylor*, Auburn*

2 Seeds: Kansas, Kentucky, Purdue, Villanova

3 Seeds: Duke*, Texas Tech, Wisconsin, Tennessee

4 Seeds: Providence*, Illinois*, Arkansas, UCLA

5 Seeds: Houston*, Texas, UConn, LSU

6 Seeds: Ohio State, Saint Mary’s, Alabama, Iowa

7 Seeds: Murray St*, USC, Colorado St, Boise St*

8 Seeds: Seton Hall, Iowa St, Michigan St, Marquette

9 Seeds: TCU, San Diego State, San Francisco, Crieghton

10 Seeds: North Carolina, Miami (FL), Michigan, Memphis

11 Seeds: Wyoming, Davidson*, Notre Dame, Loyola Chicago*

12 Seeds: South Dakota State*, North Texas*, Rutgers, Wake Forest, SMU, Indiana

13 Seeds: Chattanooga*, Vermont*, Toledo*, New Mexico State*

14 Seeds: Princeton*, Jacksonville State*, Colgate*, Montana State*

15 Seeds: Saint Peter’s*, Georgia State*, Delaware*, Long Beach State*

16 Seeds: Wright State*, Longwood*, Bryant*, Norfolk St*, Nicholls*, Alcorn State*

Last 4 Byes: Michigan, Memphis, Wyoming, Notre Dame

Last 4 In: Rutgers, Wake Forest, SMU, Indiana

First 4 Out: BYU, Xavier, Dayton, VCU

Next 4 Out: Virginia Tech, Florida, UAB, Texas A&M

italics = already eliminated from conference tournament

Bold = Already won conference tournament

I don’t really think Notre Dame, Wyoming, Memphis, or Michigan should have to sweat much, there are really only 4 At Large spots up for grabs, and there’s obviously potential bid stealers in the AAC, Mountain West, Atlantic 10, and technically in other leagues too.

Xavier and BYU, despite being the first two teams out, likely have zero shot, because they don’t have a chance to improve their resume, while the next 6 teams below them (As well as Colorado, Oregon, Virginia or others) do have that chance, so they’re both all but eliminated.

Texas A&M/Florida is an elimination game, winner stays in the hunt, loser is out. Same with Oregon vs Colorado. The winner of the aforementioned Oregon/Colorado game would likely join the Next 4 Out, replacing the loser of the Florida/Texas A&M game.

Indiana/Michigan is likely win and in, lose and out, for the Hoosiers. For Michigan, they’re likely in no matter what.

Virginia Tech could make things interesting if they beat Notre Dame to set up a matchup with UNC or UVA.

Other Bubble teams in action today include: UAB (vs FAU, 9:30) and Wyoming (at UNLV, 5:30).